cocoa options

cocoa options

December 22nd, 2016

Cocoa speculators have turned net-short on cocoa futures for the first time in years – just as prices are testing major long-term support.

If you’re still looking for last minute gift ideas for that trader on your list, a few shares or contracts in cocoa may do the trick. That’s because the sweet commodity may be well-positioned for a bounce following a 12-month rout. First, let’s look at prices as determined by the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa Subindex Total Return SM Index ETN, ticker, NIB. NIB is presently testing the 27-28 level that represents the fund’s all-time lows set in 2011-2013.

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Cocoa futures rise from multi-year lows

On December 20, 2016, in cocoa futures trading news report, by Infinity Trading
cocoa futures news

cocoa futures news

December 20th, 2016

Cocoa futures prices were boosted on Monday by news that speculators had increased further an already large short position, prompting some to expect there may be scope for a short-term rebound in prices. May New York cocoa was up $51, or 0.85 percent, at $2,257 a tonne at 1500 GMT. The second position has recovered some ground after dipping to a low of $2,144 a week ago, its weakest since July 2013.

Speculators boosted bearish bets on cocoa to a 4-1/2 year high in the week to Dec. 13, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday. Dealers said the scope for further losses may also be limited after a prolonged slide, with the market on course to fall nearly 30 percent in 2016.

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cocoa options

cocoa options

December 13, 2016

Raw sugar futures fell into bear market territory Tuesday as traders exiting long positions largely looked past a boost to gasoline prices in Brazil.

Raw sugar for March delivery dropped 3.4% to end at 18.60 cents a pound on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange, the lowest close for the most active contract since June 2.

The sugar market is still heavily long, with the bulls outweighing the bears by 174,459 contracts as of last Tuesday, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data. At the close, the market was down 22% from its most recent high reached Oct. 5, pushing it into bear market territory.

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Cocoa Futures Market Attempts Rally

On December 12, 2016, in cocoa futures trading news report, by Infinity Trading
cocoa options

cocoa options

December 12th, 2016

Cocoa was on track to have its first day of gains in seven sessions Monday as traders reentered the market to snatch up futures at cheaper levels.

Cocoa for March delivery rose 2.5% to $2,225 a ton on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange, bouncing off a three-and-a-half year low reached Friday.

As of last Tuesday, hedge funds and other money managers were the least bullish they’ve been about the cocoa market since July 24, 2012, with the bulls outweighing the bears by 4,908 contracts, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Analysts say the cocoa market is moving from a production surplus to a production deficit year with higher prices for farmers in West Africa helping to driving production at the same time that weather conditions have improved for developing crops.

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cocoa futures news

cocoa futures news

December 9th, 2016

Plummeting cocoa prices could spur demand, with processing margins at their highest level in years, analyst Judith Ganes-Chase said.

Ms Ganes-Chase said market were ‘underestimating’ the scale of current cocoa processing, suggesting the size of this year’s market surplus may less than thought.

Cocoa prices in New York are plumbing their lowest level in over three years, under pressure from the big crop in West Africa.

“More and more observers are expecting to see a sizeable oversupply in the current 2016-17 crop year,” said Commerzbank on Friday.

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cocoa options

cocoa options

December 9th, 2016

Cocoa futures dropped to the lowest level in three-and-a-half years, headed for a sixth session of losses as more predictions of a global surplus hit the market.

Cocoa for March dropped 2.2% to $2,223 a ton on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange, on track for its lowest close since July 10, 2013.

“More and more observers are seeing a sizeable oversupply,” Commerzbank said in a note.

Judith Ganes Chase, president of research firm J. Ganes Consulting, said traders should be cautious about assuming that big crops in cocoa will lead to oversupply. She said she anticipates demand will recover as processing margins improve under lower prices.

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cocoa futures news

cocoa futures news

November 23rd, 2016

Speculators, who have been big players in ag markets such as soybeans and sugar this year, will remain “quite active” in 2017, Rabobank said – naming cocoa as its most bullish bet for next year, and coffee the most bearish.

The appeal of ags to hedge funds “is unlikely to change in 2017″, Rabobank said, citing the quest by investors for yield at a time of low borrowing costs.

“Interest rates are expected to rise only very slowly, keeping investors looking for higher returns,” the bank said, adding that index funds may also “be back in the market toward the second half of next year”.

“The interest in commodity index funds, which offer a hedge against inflation, may be rekindled if fear of inflation reappear,” with Rabobank noting “a few signs”, from the likes of bond market spreads, that the pace of global price rises may “slightly increase” next year.

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