orange juice futures

orange juice futures

November 27th, 2017

“Market will tighten again in 2018-19 and approach record-low stock levels” with “higher prices likely” in long term following hurricane damage to Florida groves and dry conditions in Brazil expected, Andres Padilla, beverage analyst at Rabobank in Sao Paulo, says in report.

* Brazil’s 2018-19 juice output may drop 21% to 950,000 tons y/y
* In Florida, damage from Hurricane Irma “could be long lasting, reaching beyond the immediately increased fruit droppage in 2017-18”
* Juice output may drop to 235,000 tons in 2017-18 and 250,000 in 2018-19, down from 390,000 in 2016-17
* Prices may rise even as demand will continue declining this year and next at ~4% in volume; Europe’s use seen ebbing at slower rate than U.S.
* In 2018-19, global juice supply is set to drop 15% to 1.6m tons y/y; balance may shift to deficit of 80,000 tons from surplus of same amount

- Marvin G. Perez Bloomberg.


gold futures blog

gold futures blog

November 21st, 2017

Gold prices held onto gains on Tuesday, as sentiment on the U.S. dollar remained fragile amid ongoing uncertainty over the fate of a U.S. tax bill and ahead of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting due on Wednesday.

Comex gold futures were up $3.47 or about 0.27% at $1,278.78 a troy ounce by 08:15 a.m. ET (12:15 GMT).

The House of Representatives passed a bill last week that would lower corporate taxes and cut individual taxes for most households in 2018.

However the legislation could still face difficulties in the Senate amid resistance within Republican ranks. Senate lawmakers are expected to vote on their version of the bill after this week’s Thanksgiving holiday.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was steady at 94.01.

Gold is sensitive to moves in the dollar. A weaker dollar makes gold less expensive for holders of foreign currency.

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crude oil futures news

crude oil futures news

November 20th, 2017

Natural gas futures started the week off with sharp losses on Monday, as traders reacted to forecasts calling for less heating demand through the end of this month.

U.S. natural gas futures sank 6.2 cents, or around 2%, to $3.035 per million British thermal units by 9:00AM ET (1400GMT). It reached its worst level since Nov. 3 at $3.026 earlier in the session.

Prices climbed 4.4 cents, or almost 1.5%, on Friday, but still lost about 3.6% for the week.

Gas futures often reach a seasonal low in late October and early November, when mild weather weakens demand, before recovering in the winter, when heating-fuel use peaks.

The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption.

Meanwhile, market participants looked ahead to this week’s storage data due on Wednesday, which is expected to show a draw in a range between 43 and 53 billion cubic feet (bcf) in the week ended Nov. 17.

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gold futures

gold futures

November 17th, 2017

Gold prices rose sharply on Friday amid an uptick in geopolitical uncertainty after North Korea ruled out negotiations with Washington on curbing its nuclear weapons programme.

Gold futures for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by $14.77, or 1.15%, to $1292.88 a troy ounce.

“As long as there is continuous hostile policy against my country [North Korea] by the U.S. and as long as there are continued war games at our doorstep, then there will not be negotiations,” North Korea’s US ambassador Han Tae Song said.

That fuelled geopolitical uncertainty, raising demand for safe-haven gold as market participants feared that North Korea could retaliate should Washington respond with new sanctions on the isolated nation.

In the U.S., political uncertainty weighed on treasury yields and the dollar, underpinning a move higher in gold prices after reports surfaced that Special Counsel Robert Mueller was set to issue fresh subpoenas for the Trump campaign as part of investigation into alleged Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election.

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Sugar futures hit 5-1/2 month high

On November 16, 2017, in sugar futures trading news report, by Infinity Trading
sugar futures brokers

sugar futures brokers

November 14th, 2017

Sugar futures raw on ICE edged up to equal the prior session’s 5-1/2 month high on Tuesday as funds scaled back short positions, although the rise was slowed by producer selling.

* March raw sugar was up 0.03 cents, or 0.2 percent, at 15.16 cents per lb by 1210 GMT after equalling Monday’s 5-1/2 month peak for the front month of 15.18 cents.

* Dealers said the recent run-up in prices has been driven partly by a rise in energy prices which is leading to a switch in Brazil to using more cane to produce ethanol at the expense of sugar.

* Dealers said the switch would curb sugar production in Brazil and reduce the size of a widely anticipated global surplus in the 2017/18 season.

* “We are not talking about the disappearance of the surplus but we are talking about a reduction (in its size),” one London dealer said.

* Dealers said the market was, however, struggling to overcome resistance around the March contract’s peak in September of 15.20 cents and a break above that level could trigger a fresh wave of fund short covering.

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gold futures news

gold futures news

November 15th, 2017

Gold futures climbed to one-month highs on Wednesday, as the U.S. dollar remained under broad selling pressure despite the release of positive U.S. inflation and retail sales reports.

Comex gold futures were up $5.47 or about 0.42% at $1,288.08 a troy ounce by 08:45 a.m. ET (12:45 GMT).

The U.S. Commerce Department said consumer prices rose 0.1% in October, in line with forecasts.

A separate report showed that U.S. retail sales increased by 0.2% last month, just above expectations for a more modest gain of 0.1%.

On a less positive note however, the New York Federal Reserve reported that its Empire State manufacturing index fell 11 points to 91.4 in November, compared to analysts forecast for a reading of 26.00.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.43% at 93.33, the lowest since October 20.

Gold is sensitive to moves in the dollar. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of foreign currency.

The greenback has been under pressure recently amid uncertainty over the fate of a major U.S. tax overhaul.

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crude oil futures quotes

crude oil futures quotes

November 14th, 2017

Crude oil futures were under pressure on Tuesday, as market players awaited weekly data from the U.S. on stockpiles of crude and refined products to gauge the strength of demand in the world’s largest energy consumer.

Industry group the American Petroleum Institute is due to release its weekly report at 4:30PM ET (2130GMT), amid forecasts for an oil-stock drop of around 2.8 million barrels.

Market sentiment was dampened after the International Energy Agency cut its global oil-demand forecasts, in contrast to a more bullish outlook from OPEC released a day earlier.

In a monthly report, the Paris-based agency cut its oil demand forecast by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) for this year and next, to an estimated 1.5 million bpd in 2017 and 1.3 million bpd in 2018.

The IEA said warmer temperatures could cut consumption, while sharply rising production from outside OPEC might mean the global market tilts back into surplus in the first half of 2018.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures shed 24 cents, or about 0.4%, to $56.52 a barrel by 8:40AM ET (1340GMT). It reached its best level since July 2015 at $57.92 last week.

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Crude oil futures quotes

Crude oil futures quotes

November 13th, 2017

OPEC on Monday forecast higher demand for its oil in 2018 and said its production-cutting deal with rival producers was reducing excess oil in storage, pointing to an even tighter global market next year.

In a monthly report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said the world would need 33.42 million barrels per day (bpd) of OPEC crude next year, up 360,000 bpd from its previous forecast.

The 14-country producer group also said its oil output in October, as assessed by secondary sources, came in below the 2018 demand forecast at 32.59 million bpd, a drop of about 150,000 bpd from September.

The report points to a supply deficit next year if OPEC keeps pumping at October’s rate.

crude oil futures news

crude oil futures news

November 6th, 2017

Crude oil prices remained near two-year highs on Monday, still boosted by expectations that oil producing countries will agree to extend an output cut at their meeting at the end of this month.

The U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude December contract was up20cents or about 0.36% at $55.80a barrel by 09:55 a.m. ET (13:55 GMT),just off a two-year high of $56.24 hit overnight.

Elsewhere, Brent oil for January delivery on the ICE Futures Exchange in London was up 37 cents or about 0.60% at $62.45 a barrel, off a two-year high of $62.87 hit earlier in the day.

Under the original terms of the deal, OPEC and 10 other non-OPEC countries led by Russia agreed to cut production by 1.8 million barrels a day (bpd) for six months. The agreement was extended in May of this year for a period of nine more months until March 2018 in a bid to reduce global oil inventories and support oil prices.

Discussions are continuing in the run-up to the Nov. 30 meeting, which oil ministers from OPEC and the participating non-OPEC countries will attend.

Prices received another boost as a sizable weekly drop in active U.S. oil rigs to the lowest level since May fed expectations for a slowdown in domestic crude output growth.

Oilfield services firm Baker Hughes reported that the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil fell by eight to 729 last week. That was the fourth weekly decline in five.

The weekly rig count is an important barometer for the drilling industry and serves as a proxy for domestic oil production.

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