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Copper futures dropped the most in four weeks amid concern that persistent economic weakness in Europe will undercut demand for the metal.
A report today showed the euro-area’s economy shrank in the third quarter, slipping 0.1 percent from the previous three months and confirming data from last month showing the currency union fell into a recession. The European Central Bank cut its forecast for 2013 to a contraction of 0.3 percent, rather than expected growth of 0.5 percent.
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Copper futures advanced, capping the biggest weekly gain in more than two months, on optimism that demand will increase in China, the world’s top user of industrial metal.
Confidence in China’s economy is at the highest in more than a year amid speculation that Xi Jinping, the new leader, will be better for the financial climate, according to a Bloomberg investor poll. A report tomorrow may disclose that manufacturing increased this month. In the U.S., business activity in November expanded for the first time in three months, MNI Chicago Report’s business barometer showed today.
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Copper Futures – Copper supply shortages will extend into the first half of next year as an accelerating Chinese economy more than doubles the pace of growth in global consumption even as mines extract a record amount of metal.
Demand will outpace supply by 316,000 metric tons in the first six months, more than all copper in London Metal Exchange warehouses, before a surplus emerges in the second half, Barclays Plc estimates. Production has lagged behind consumption since 2010, according to the International Copper Study Group. The metal may average $8,300 a ton in the second quarter, 5.1 percent more than now and the most in a year, according to the median of 21 analyst and trader estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
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