Natural Gas Traders Bracing for Triple-Digit Draw

On November 22, 2018, in natural gas futures news, by Infinity Trading
natural gas futures news

natural gas futures news

November 21, 2018,

Natural gas futures are on the rise early Thursday, well ahead of today’s U.S. Energy Information Administration report. Today’s report is one day early because of tomorrow’s U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. It’s also scheduled for a different time at 1700 GMT.

At 0810 GMT, January Natural Gas futures are trading $4.765, up $0.239 or +5.31%. The high of the session is $4.875. This is slightly below last week’s spike high at $4.964.

Pre-report estimates are calling for a triple-digit withdrawal for the week-ended November 16. The range guesses are minus 92 Bcf to minus 121 Bcf. Last year, the EIA reported a 42 Bcf withdrawal for the same period. The five-year average for this time of year is a withdrawal of 25 Bcf. So if you do the math, today’s withdrawal is expected to come in at nearly 4 times the five-year average. That’s very bullish if you’re keeping score at home.
Why is this important?

A triple-digit withdrawal will be major news since it’s still only November and the winter heating season is just getting started. Furthermore, it will significantly widen the year-on-year and five-year storage deficits. This could pose problems later in the winter season if the cold blasts continue.

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natural gas futures brokers

natural gas futures brokers

November 12th, 2018
Natural gas futures surged to their highest level in roughly four years on Monday, as cold weather forecasts for most parts of the United States over the next two weeks boosted expectations for heating demand.

U.S. natural gas futures jumped 8.5 cents, or around 2.3%, to $3.804 per million British thermal units by 9:05AM ET (1405GMT), having earlier reached its best level since December 2014 at $3.906.

Futures surged 13.2% last week, marking the largest weekly percentage climb since the week ended Jan. 12 of this year

Forecasts are now pointing to temperatures in mid-November that are more typical of the middle of December, with cold bursts expected in the Midwest, across Texas and the South and throughout New England.

Natural gas prices typically rise ahead of the winter as colder weather sparks indoor-heating demand.

The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption.

Meanwhile, market participants looked ahead to storage data for the week ending November 9, due out on Thursday.

Total natural gas in storage currently stands at 3.208 trillion cubic feet (tcf), according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the lowest level for this time of year in around 15 years.

The last time supplies were this low in the first week of November was in 2003.

- Investing.com.

Natural gas traded near the highest level in a month in New York on speculation that forecasts for a blast of wintry weather in the U.S. may boost demand for the heating fuel.

Futures for January delivery climbed as much as 0.3 percent to $3.875 per million British thermal units in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange before trading at $3.847 at 9:09 a.m. London time. The December contract expired yesterday after gaining 0.8 percent to $3.818. The volume of all futures traded was about 48 percent below the 100-day average.

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natural gas options

natural gas futures

October 15th, 2013

Natural gas futures fluctuated in New York amid predictions for colder-than-normal weather that would spur heating-fuel consumption.

Gas moved between gains and losses as MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland, said temperatures may be below average in the central U.S. from Oct. 20 through Oct. 29. The low in Chicago on Oct. 24 may be 32 degrees Fahrenheit (0 Celsius), 11 less than usual, according to AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania.

“Even if we have a cold front, we’ll have plenty of supply,” said Phil Flynn, a senior market analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago. “The market is a little bit overextended and traders have been overplaying the cold weather.”

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natural gas options

natural gas futures

September 10th, 2013

Natural gas futures fluctuated in New York on speculation that government data will show a larger-than-normal increase in stockpiles of the power-plant fuel.

Gas rose as much as 0.7 percent and slipped 1.2 percent. An Energy Information Administration report scheduled for release on Sept. 12 may show inventories grew by 64 billion cubic feet in the week ended Sept. 6, according to the median of three analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The five-year average gain for the week is 62 billion.

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natural gas options

Natural gas futures

September 3rd, 2013

Natural gas futures climbed to a five-week high in New York on concern that storms would disrupt supplies amid hot weather that may stoke demand for the power-plant fuel.

Gas gained as much as 2.8 percent after the National Hurricane Center said low pressure systems were producing showers and thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula. MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland, predicted above-normal temperatures in the central U.S. through Sept. 17.

“These storms are definitely providing a little extra support for the market because there’s concern that they could move into the Gulf,” said Phil Flynn, a senior market analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago. “It’s pretty warm in the Midwest and the hot temperatures are still boosting cooling demand.”

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Natural Gas Climbs for Second Day

On May 20, 2013, in natural gas futures news, by Infinity Trading
natural gas options

natural gas futures climb

May 20th, 2013

Natural gas futures advanced for a second day in New York on forecasts for above-normal temperatures that would boost demand for the power-plant fuel.

Gas gained as much as 2.6 percent after Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland, predicted warmer-than-average weather in the Northeast and Great Lakes region through May 24. The high in New York on May 22 may be 82 degrees Fahrenheit (28 Celsius), 10 more than usual, according to AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania.

“The weather continues to confound the bears,” said Phil Flynn, a senior market analyst for Price Futures Group in Chicago. “Temperatures have gone from colder than normal to warmer than normal. There’s been an incredible amount of volatility with the weather situation.”

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March 19th, 2013

Natural gas futures climbed to an 18-month high in New York as an unusually cold start to spring in the U.S. may bolster demand for the heating fuel.

Gas rose 2.2 percent after a midday update to government forecasting models showed colder weather for the Midwest and East from March 29 through April 2, said Jim Southard, a meteorologist with Frontier Weather Inc. in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Earlier predictions showed seasonal to slightly below-normal temperatures. Prices have jumped 18 percent this year as waves of frigid weather helped reduce a supply glut.

“There has been a lot of bullish money thrown at this market since the end of February,” said Stephen Schork, president of Schork Group Inc., a consulting group in Villanova, Pennsylvania. “We had a nice rally. It’s cold now but in a couple of weeks we’ll have less weather-related demand.”

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March 7th, 2013

Natural gas futures rose to a six- week high in New York after a government report showed that U.S. inventories fell by more than forecast last week as cold weather boosted demand.

Natural gas rose as much as 3.8 percent after the Energy Information Administration said stockpiles fell 146 billion cubic feet in the week ended March 1 to 2.083 trillion. Analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg showed a drop of 132 billion. A cold snap last week brought below-normal temperatures to most of the lower 48 states, according to Commodity Weather Group LLC.

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December 28th, 2012

Natural gas futures gained in New York for the second time in three days on speculation that a cold start to January will drive up demand for the heating fuel.

Natural gas rose as much as 2.2 percent as forecasters including Commodity Weather Group LLC predicted below-normal temperatures for most of the lower 48 states over the next six to 10 days. An Energy Department report today may show supplies declined by 72 billion cubic feet last week, based on the median of 20 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The five-year average drop for the period is 140 billion, department data show.

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