natural gas futures news

natural gas futures news

April 23rd, 2018

Natural gas futures started the week in negative territory on Monday, amid speculation the start of spring will bring warmer temperatures throughout the U.S. and cut into demand for the fuel.

Front-month U.S. natural gas futures slumped 1.9 cents, or around 0.7%, to $2.748 per million British thermal units (btu) by 9:00AM ET (1300GMT).

The commodity notched its second straight weekly gain, with futures rising about 0.2% last week, thanks to lingering winter-like weather conditions, which has delayed the official start of the storage injection season.

Despite recent gains, market experts warned that futures are likely to remain vulnerable in the near-term as below-normal temperatures in April mean less than they do in January and February.

Spring usually sees the weakest demand for natural gas in the U.S, as the absence of extreme temperatures curbs demand for heating and air conditioning.

Meanwhile, market participants looked ahead to this week’s storage data due on Thursday, which is expected to show another draw in a range between 3 and 17 billion cubic feet (bcf) for the week ended April 20.

That compares with a decline of 36 bcf in the preceding week, an increase of 74 bcf a year earlier and a five-year average rise of 60 bcf.

Total natural gas in storage currently stands at 1.299 trillion cubic feet (tcf), according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

That figure is 808 bcf, or around 38.3%, lower than levels at this time a year ago, and 449 bcf, or roughly 25.7%, below the five-year average for this time of year.

Record high domestic production levels have overshadowed the fact that stocks in storage are well below their seasonal averages for this time of year.


cocoa futures news

cocoa futures news

May 12th, 2017

Commodity players in the exchange traded products market are proving chocaholics.

For 10 consecutive weeks, the investors in exchange traded products, or ETPs, have raised their exposure to cocoa.

That has lifted assets investment in cocoa ETPs to $83m, up from some $27m, according to data from ETF Securities, which claims a 99% share of trading in the exchange traded products in ags in Europe.

That has made the market more valuable than that in corn, one of the biggest markets for futures investors, as well as those in cotton, soybeans and sugar – if lagging the $150m invested in wheat EPTs.

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coffee futures news

coffee futures news

May 17th, 2016

Since drought concerns first emerged in February this year, London robusta coffee prices have rallied by over 25%.

Prices are currently trading at an eight-month high of $1679 per tonne, as drought fears have cut estimates of the 2016/17 crop production from top robusta producing countries including Vietnam, Brazil, Indonesia and, more recently, India.

Coffee Futures: Eyes on skies

With the rainfall season approaching in Vietnam, the country’s Meteorology and Hydrology Department’s (GDMH) in its May statement forecast 20 – 40% lower rainfall in the main producing areas of the South and the Central Highlands.

Current rainfall has been scattered and this will lend little support to production, “so drought and water conditions won’t improve much” in the short-term, according to GDMH.

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December 12th, 2012

The Federal Reserve said it will buy $45 billion a month of Treasury securities starting in January, expanding its asset-purchase program, and it linked the outlook for its main interest rate to unemployment and inflation.

“The committee remains concerned that, without sufficient policy accommodation, economic growth might not be strong enough to generate sustained improvement in labor-market conditions,” the Federal Open Market Committee said today at the conclusion of a two-day meeting in Washington.

The Fed said interest rates will stay low “at least as long” as the unemployment rate remains above 6.5 percent and if inflation “between one and two years ahead” is projected to be no more than 2.5 percent. The committee “views these thresholds as consistent with its earlier date-based guidance.”

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October 30th, 2012

Futures Trading – Hurricane Sandy’s economic toll is poised to exceed $20 billion after the biggest Atlantic storm slammed into the Eastern U.S., damaging homes and offices and flooding subways in America’s most populated city.

The total would include insured losses of about $7 billion to $8 billion, said Charles Watson, research and development director at Kinetic Analysis Corp., a hazard-research company in Silver Spring, Maryland. Much of the remaining tab will be picked up by cities and states to repair infrastructure, such as New York City’s subways and tunnels, he said.

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October 23rd, 2012

Commodity Futures – Commodities declined, erasing this year’s gain, as slowing global economic growth may curb demand for raw materials even as central banks pledge more stimulus.

The Standard & Poor’s GSCI spot gauge of 24 commodities fell for a third consecutive session, after sliding for the first month in four in September. The measure declined 1.1 percent to 641.51 by 1:28 p.m. in London. It first erased gains for the year in May and the last time it happened was in July. The last annual drop was in 2008.

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September 17th, 2012

Commodity Investing – Bullish commodity wagers rose to a 16-month high just before the Federal Reserve’s pledge for more stimulus drove prices to a seventh weekly advance and banks from HSBC Holdings Plc to Citigroup Inc. forecast more gains.

Hedge funds and other speculators lifted their net-long positions across 18 U.S. futures and options by 0.3 percent to 1.33 million contracts in the week ended Sept. 11, the most since May 2011, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. Copper holdings surged 25-fold to 17,509 contracts, the biggest gain on record. Gold bets climbed to the highest since Feb. 28, and silver wagers advanced for a seventh week.

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February 10th, 2012

U.S. corn stockpiles in the 2011-12 marketing year will tighten further and price gains will outpace increases in other commodities in six months, Goldman Sachs said.

Corn will rise 9 percent in six months, Goldman said in an e-mailed report dated yesterday. U.S. inventories are expected by the U.S. Department of Agriculture to fall to 20.3 million metric tons, the lowest level in 16 years. Global stockpiles may fall to the lowest since 2006-07, according to the USDA. Soybeans may gain 6 percent to $12.90 a bushel on reduced South American production, Goldman said.

“We expect further tightening of the 2011-12 U.S. corn balance, lower South American corn and soybean production and a 2012-13 U.S. soybean balance in deficit,” New York-based analyst Damien Courvalin said. “Corn prices will remain high relative to other crops in coming months in order to secure sufficient acreage gains in the U.S. to help rebuild U.S. inventories.”

Corn futures have declined 11 percent in the past year, partly on speculation that demand would decline amid economic crises in the U.S. and European Union. Soybeans declined 15 percent and wheat has plunged 26 percent.

Soybean acreage may suffer as farmers plant corn in the U.S., Goldman said. Dry weather in Brazil and Argentina will reduce production of both crops, improving export demand for inventories from the U.S., according to the report.

Because of the increased corn planting in the U.S., the biggest exporter of the grain, prices may decline after the harvest in August and September. Gains in soybean futures are expected to outpace corn in the 12-month timeframe, Goldman said in the report. Corn may drop to $5.25 a bushel in a year while soybeans may rise to $12.90 a bushel.

- Tony C. Dreibus in London at Bloomberg.

February 10th, 2012

Crude oil dropped from a three-week high as euro-area finance ministers refused to approve a rescue package for Greece, boosting concern that the European debt crisis will reduce fuel demand.

Futures fell 1.2 percent after Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of the group of euro-area finance chiefs, said yesterday that Greece won’t get financial aid until it implements an austerity plan. The International Energy Agency also cut its 2012 global oil demand forecast for a sixth month, citing a “darkening” economic outlook.

“The market rallied earlier this week on signs that the Greek situation was about to be settled and is now giving back those gains,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York-based hedge fund that focuses on energy. “The longer this crisis continues, the more it will diminish European economic growth and along with that the oil demand outlook.”

Crude oil for March delivery decreased $1.17 to settle at $98.67 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose for a third day yesterday, climbing 1.1 percent to $99.84, the highest close since Jan. 19. Prices increased 0.8 percent this week and are up 14 percent in the past year.

Brent oil for March settlement fell $1.28, or 1.1 percent, to end the session at $117.31 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. It was the first decline in nine days, ending the longest stretch of moves higher since October 2009. The European benchmark contract’s premium to New York-traded West Texas Intermediate crude was at $18.64, 11 cents narrower than yesterday’s settlement.

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February 9th 2012

Futures Trading – The world’s first global black pepper futures contract will go live on February 10, with its launch by the Singapore Mercantile Exchange (SMX), the first trans-Asian multi-product commodity and currency derivatives exchange.

According to exchange sources, this would be “SMX’s first agricultural commodities futures contract, aimed at creating a global benchmark for a commodity predominantly produced and exported from the Asia-Pacific region to the West.”

Vietnam is the largest producer and exporter of black pepper, with 33 per cent and 43 per cent global share respectively, and thus features as the basis delivery centre of the SMX futures contract. The basis grade is origin-neutral 550 g/l black pepper, considering Indonesia, Malaysia and India are also major exporters of the commodity.

So far, India was the only country that conducted futures trading in pepper at the national level exchange through the electronic media, that could be accessed and viewed all over the world. However, from Friday, Singapore’s international exchange would trade pepper to be delivered out of Vietnam bonded warehouses, which means the activity on that exchange would be restricted to Vietnamese pepper alone.

Vietnam has large quantities of pepper — more than 1.25 lakh tonnes — and the bulk of its exports of late have been for 500 g/l faq quality, ever since pepper prices have risen in recent times. There are certain restrictions/controls on the import of such pepper into the US in line with the US/FDA standard and, therefore, it is observed that except for the US, all the other importing countries import the 500 g/l faq grade pepper because of its competitive price in the current high-priced market, the trade here claimed.

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