Natural Gas Traders Bracing for Triple-Digit Draw

On November 22, 2018, in natural gas futures news, by Infinity Trading
natural gas futures news

natural gas futures news

November 21, 2018,

Natural gas futures are on the rise early Thursday, well ahead of today’s U.S. Energy Information Administration report. Today’s report is one day early because of tomorrow’s U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. It’s also scheduled for a different time at 1700 GMT.

At 0810 GMT, January Natural Gas futures are trading $4.765, up $0.239 or +5.31%. The high of the session is $4.875. This is slightly below last week’s spike high at $4.964.

Pre-report estimates are calling for a triple-digit withdrawal for the week-ended November 16. The range guesses are minus 92 Bcf to minus 121 Bcf. Last year, the EIA reported a 42 Bcf withdrawal for the same period. The five-year average for this time of year is a withdrawal of 25 Bcf. So if you do the math, today’s withdrawal is expected to come in at nearly 4 times the five-year average. That’s very bullish if you’re keeping score at home.
Why is this important?

A triple-digit withdrawal will be major news since it’s still only November and the winter heating season is just getting started. Furthermore, it will significantly widen the year-on-year and five-year storage deficits. This could pose problems later in the winter season if the cold blasts continue.

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natural gas futures brokers

natural gas futures brokers

November 12th, 2018
Natural gas futures surged to their highest level in roughly four years on Monday, as cold weather forecasts for most parts of the United States over the next two weeks boosted expectations for heating demand.

U.S. natural gas futures jumped 8.5 cents, or around 2.3%, to $3.804 per million British thermal units by 9:05AM ET (1405GMT), having earlier reached its best level since December 2014 at $3.906.

Futures surged 13.2% last week, marking the largest weekly percentage climb since the week ended Jan. 12 of this year

Forecasts are now pointing to temperatures in mid-November that are more typical of the middle of December, with cold bursts expected in the Midwest, across Texas and the South and throughout New England.

Natural gas prices typically rise ahead of the winter as colder weather sparks indoor-heating demand.

The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption.

Meanwhile, market participants looked ahead to storage data for the week ending November 9, due out on Thursday.

Total natural gas in storage currently stands at 3.208 trillion cubic feet (tcf), according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the lowest level for this time of year in around 15 years.

The last time supplies were this low in the first week of November was in 2003.


crude oil futures news

crude oil futures news

November 20th, 2017

Natural gas futures started the week off with sharp losses on Monday, as traders reacted to forecasts calling for less heating demand through the end of this month.

U.S. natural gas futures sank 6.2 cents, or around 2%, to $3.035 per million British thermal units by 9:00AM ET (1400GMT). It reached its worst level since Nov. 3 at $3.026 earlier in the session.

Prices climbed 4.4 cents, or almost 1.5%, on Friday, but still lost about 3.6% for the week.

Gas futures often reach a seasonal low in late October and early November, when mild weather weakens demand, before recovering in the winter, when heating-fuel use peaks.

The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption.

Meanwhile, market participants looked ahead to this week’s storage data due on Wednesday, which is expected to show a draw in a range between 43 and 53 billion cubic feet (bcf) in the week ended Nov. 17.

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