April 17th, 2014

Wheat futures rebounded in Chicago on speculation that turmoil in Ukraine and drought in the U.S. will disrupt supplies.

Top diplomats from Ukraine and Russia will meet today for the first time since clashes erupted in Ukraine’s restive east, accompanied by U.S. and European Union counterparts poised to impose new sanctions if talks fail. Ukraine is the sixth-largest shipper of wheat.

“There’s been some underlying bullish factors with Ukraine and Russia and that has escalated so that’s got interest back on that area,” Nathan Cattle, senior commodity analyst at Profarmer Australia, a unit of NZX Ltd., said by phone from Melbourne. “The other one is U.S. winter wheat conditions. Everyone’s looking at the forecast.”

Wheat futures for July delivery climbed 0.5 percent to $6.99 a bushel by 6:49 a.m. on the Chicago Board of Trade, after falling 2 percent yesterday. Milling wheat futures in Paris dropped 0.7 percent.

While rains in the southwest Plains on April 19 and the east-central Plains on April 20 will improve moisture for wheat, significant reductions in drought and crop stress are not anticipated, MDA Information Systems LLC said in a report yesterday.

Soybeans in Chicago extended gains to a 10-month high, rising as much 0.8 percent to $15.21 a bushel and corn climbed 0.2 percent to $5.045 a bushel.

- Phoebe Sedgman in Melbourne at Bloomberg.

March 3rd, 2014

Wheat futures climbed the most since 2012 and corn rallied to the highest price since September as tensions escalated in Ukraine, a leading exporter of both grains.

Ukraine, set to be the third-largest corn shipper this year, mobilized its army reserves after Russia seized control of the eastern European country’s Black Sea region of Crimea, sparking one of the most serious standoffs between the West since the end of the Cold War. Ukraine probably will boost wheat exports this season to 9.5 million metric tons from 7.1 million a year earlier, making it the sixth-biggest supplier, according to the International Grains Council.

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April 2nd, 2013

Wheat advanced for a second day, extending a rebound from the lowest level in nine months, on concern that freezing conditions in the U.S. probably hurt the winter crop, while wet weather may delay planting of the spring crop. Corn fell for a fourth day, deepening a bear market.

Wheat futures for delivery in May gained as much as 0.9 percent to $6.765 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade, after dropping to $6.5975 on April 1. It traded at $6.72, up 0.2 percent at 9:26 a.m. in Singapore on volume that was about 59 percent above the 100-day average for that time of day.

Freezing conditions early last week may have damaged so- called jointing wheat in the southern plains, while in the Delta region, heavy rain this week may delay spring field work, Bryce Anderson, an agricultural meteorologist at DTN, said in a report yesterday. Jointing refers to a stage when nodes develop on a plant’s stem, according to a Queensland government website.

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March 19th, 2013

Wheat Futures – Farmers from Australia to Europe to the U.S. are poised to reap the second-largest wheat crop on record as fields recover from drought and heat waves, boosting global stockpiles for the first time in four years.

Output will climb 4.3 percent to 690 million metric tons, about 10 million tons short of the all-time high set two years ago, the United Nations estimates. Global inventories will increase by 2 million tons to 176 million tons, the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences predicts. Prices will probably drop 16 percent to $6 a bushel in Chicago by the end of the year, according to the median of 16 analyst and trader estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

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March 7th, 2013

Wheat Futures News- The global wheat harvest may climb 4.3 percent from the previous season, reaching the second- highest on record, as European farmers expanded acreage while yields rebound in Russia, the United Nations’ Food & Agriculture Organization said.

World output may total 690 million metric tons this year, compared with 661.8 million tons a year earlier, the Rome-based FAO said today in an online report. The harvest would be second only to the 2011 record. Wheat planting in the European Union may be about 3 percent bigger than a year earlier and weather conditions have been “generally favorable.” Ukraine may also see a “large recovery” in output after satisfactory winter conditions, the FAO said. Russia and eastern Europe had dry weather last year.

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January 2nd, 2013

Wheat futures rose in Paris as commodities gained amid speculation demand will improve after U.S. lawmakers reached an accord to avert the so-called fiscal cliff of spending cuts and tax increases.

The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Index of 24 raw materials touched the highest level since Dec. 3 and the dollar slid after the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill preventing income taxes from rising for most workers in the country. The U.S. is the world’s biggest wheat exporter and fourth-largest consumer of the grain, after China, the European Union and India, as well as the leading shipper of corn and soybeans.

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December 19th, 2012

Wheat futures declined, erasing earlier gains, on speculation that rain and snow in the U.S. Great Plains and Midwest will boost prospects for crops that are dormant for the winter.

Snow is expected in parts of the southern Plains where hard-red winter wheat is grown, and precipitation may fall as a winter storm covers most of Iowa, Nebraska and northwestern Missouri, forecaster DTN said in a report today. Wheat futures through yesterday had gained 24 percent this year, partly on dry U.S. weather.

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December 14th, 2012

Wheat futures traders are the least bullish in four weeks after the U.S. Department of Agriculture raised its world stockpile forecast for a second month, easing concern that droughts and heat waves will lead to shortages.

Thirteen analysts surveyed by Bloomberg said they expect prices to gain next week, 10 were bearish and one was neutral. That’s the lowest proportion of bulls since Nov. 16. Hedge funds cut their bets on higher prices by 57 percent since Aug. 7, two weeks after futures rallied to an almost four-year high after the worst U.S. drought in a half century, government data show.

The department on Dec. 11 raised its estimate for world inventories for May 31 by 1.6 percent, while analysts surveyed by Bloomberg anticipated a decline. Futures fell the most in two months. Wheat is leading gains in commodities this year after drought from Australia to Europe to the U.S. parched crops, at a time of near-record demand.

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October 31st, 2012

Wheat Futures – The condition of winter-wheat crops in the U.S. are the worst for this time of year since the government began monitoring in 1985, as drought damage spread from Midwest corn and soybean fields to the Great Plains.

An estimated 40 percent of winter wheat, the most-common domestic variety, was rated good or excellent as of Oct. 28, with 15 percent poor or very poor, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said today in its first assessment of the season. A year earlier, 46 percent got the top ratings.

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October 23rd, 2012

Wheat production in Australia, the world’s second-biggest shipper, will probably decline 28 percent to the lowest level in five years, missing a government estimate, after dry weather reduced yields.

The harvest (ALHVS) will total 21.2 million metric tons in the 2012-2013 marketing year, according to the median of estimates from four analysts and two traders compiled by Bloomberg. That compares with 23.25 million tons in a survey last month and an official forecast of 22.5 million tons. The crop was a record 29.5 million tons last year.

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